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The New Economic Outlook with More Uncertainties
Recently seen banking crises, increased market uncertainties, and changed the analysts' market outlook. Some analysts now believe that central banks will not need to try to cool down the economy, and it has enough reason to slow down, especially with...
China's lukewarm recovery could not help WTI
China retail sales raised 3.5% annually in January and February, while fixed asset investment growth ticked up to 5.5% to avoid the risks of the real estate sector with the bottoming-out signal. However, slower industrial production growth with a 2.4...
ECB Preview | March 2023
While on Thursday, March 16, eyes will be on the ECB interest rate decision, and we are waiting for a 50 bps rate hike, I must emphasize that the liquidity position of the Eurozone banking sector appears to have improved in recent years, suggesting m...
Inflation concerns remain; Retail sales did not follow the January raise!
After banking concerns and the fear of its rapid spread to other sectors, some market participants thought Fed might stop its interest rate hikes. Still, this feeling was short-lived, as inflation numbers showed continuing rate hike concerns. Therefo...
Global Economic Outlook | March 2023
With China reopening, lower energy prices, the strong job market in most developed economies, and the relative growth of retail sales, our global economic outlook changed. Now we are less worried about the severity of the upcoming economic recession....