Weekly Outlook, 10- 14 May.

Weekly Outlook, 10- 14 May.
Market Outlook
Ahura Chalki
Author:
Ahura Chalki
Published on: 09.05.2021 20:43 (UTC)
Post reading time: 2.95 min
1965

Dow in New records and Fed comments after Weak NFP Number


After shocking NFP numbers, the week ahead includes significant inflation numbers from the US and China, while UK is supposed to release its GDP numbers. And while eyes still on India and the virus spreading there, Earnings reports will move the stock markets with Energy and entertainment shares. Let`s take a look at the most important events of the week ahead. 


Stock Markets and Earnings Report. 

While Friday`s NFP number was shocking and disappointing, stock markets continue their rallies anyway, as they realized that with weaker Job numbers, FED is not planning to hike the rate anytime soon, so this confidant helped the markets` Bull to continue. Dow Jones and S&P 500 both printed new records; however, Nasdaq was the primary winner with almost 0.9% gain daily in intraday trading.  

For the week ahead, again, we are waiting for another fantastic weekly earnings report, mostly with Energy and entertainment companies. As you can see, familiar names this week are Occidental Petroleum, Duke Energy, Marriott International, FuboTV, Wendy`s, Alibaba Group Holding, and Walt Disney. 

Same as last week, we are still expecting that rally to continue; however, Wednesday`s US inflation number and profit-taking are teh main risks of teh week. Above the current rate, which is the second resistance, we wait for 35,065 as the third resistance. And on the flip side, returning under first support at 34,303 can change the market direction. 



U.K. Gross Domestic Product. 

Wednesday is the busiest calendar day. UK Is planning to realize its GDP number for the quarter first. We expect to see the positive effects of vaccination and confirm that recovery from the pandemic is underway. Despite the 1.7% expected contraction, we guess it is possible to see a sharp increase, which is supposed to help both Footsie and Sterling. BoE estimate of a 7.25% increase in 2021 will be the fastest annual growth since 1941 if it happens. 

With positive GDP numbers, our expectation for GBP is to hold the current uptrend. Friday Cable finally could pass the upper line of its range in the past two months, hoping to raise towards its third resistance at 1.4020.