Traders Blog - Analysis, Strategies, News and more | Category - Analysis
Oil and expectations | March 2
The Oil price still wanders between different data and economic outlooks. While the prospect of more demand from China helps the bulls, concerns over a possible recession hold them back from moving further. Last week's Russian threat to cut 500K bpd...
Gold and return after touching the 2023 low!
In line with encouraging economic data, last week's published Fed Minutes of its February meeting also was more hawkish than expected. Together, these data helped the US dollar and treasury yields rise and pressure the gold prices. According to the p...
German bond yields at a 12-year high.
After the US bond yields rose today, German Bund Yields also raised to 2.58% and now trading at a 12-year high. Since market participants know the German 10-year bond as the risk-free reference asset for the Eurozone, this can be read as a long-term...
Inflation! The main Market driver!
Last week most markets closed lower, and US 10-year bond Yields rose towards 4%, while this week, eyes will be on EU inflation numbers. Last Friday, the January US core PCE price index recorded 4.7% year-on-year, above the 4.3% market estimate a...
Fed minutes kept the DXY above.
The upside risk of inflation is clearly seen in last night's published minutes. FOMC members are seeking another 50-bps rate hike in the next meeting, and strong economic and Job data give the Fed more headroom to keep raising interest rates. These c...